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April 12, 2007 "The Gathering Storm"Every April, the most sophisticated professionals gather in New York for an offbeat insurance conference. These independent thinkers appreciate controversial analyses, uninhibited debate, thought-provoking commentary, and the pleasure of hobnobbing with their counterparts-the cognoscenti of the insurance business, including actuaries, analysts, money managers, attorneys, accountants, and investment bankers.
The annual Schiff's Insurance Conference isn't for everyone, however. You won't learn the "seven secrets" of success, receive continuing education credits, or hear the usual blather about the need for underwriting discipline. With any luck, some of our speakers will offend you. Our conference rules remain the same: no boring PowerPoint presentations, no sales pitches, and no motivational speakers. We're off-the-record, and the talks are candid, freewheeling, and damned entertaining. The odds are good that heated debates will erupt.
The speakers at our conferences have a long history of making prescient, important comments. If the past is an indicator, some of the ideas and opinions you'll hear will become headlines during the coming years.
Right now, the insurance industry is flush. The Consumer Federation of America-no friend of the industry-gripes that insurance is a "low-risk" business in which insurers are poised to "reap hefty profits for years." We're not so sanguine. Underwriting results have been great-too great. The last time the industry posted such a low combined ratio was 1949, when the Brooklyn Dodgers were in the World Series and long-term Treasurys yielded 2.7%. (All things being equal, when there's less investment income companies have to do better underwriting.) Unlike that long-ago era, investment income is now strong and capital abounds. Our view, therefore, is not simply that future results will revert to the mean. They will, in time, be much worse.
For this year's conference we have once again cajoled an extraordinary group big-shot savants to join us for some action. They will discuss-and make some sense of-the dirty work that is insurance.
9:00 a.m.
David Schiff will tell you what he's riled up about these days. Throughout the conference he will, as always, interrogate the speakers and force them to answer brazen questions.
9:10 a.m.
Hank Greenberg's long record at AIG speaks for itself. In 1969, the year he took the company public, it earned $13 million. By the time he left in 2005 it earned $9.6 billion. Hank, now chairman and CEO of C. V. Starr & Co., a global investment firm, will share his thoughts on . . . the world.
10:00 a.m.
Charles Davis is CEO of Stone Point Capital, a global private equity firm that manages the Trident Funds, which have raised more than $3 billion to invest in insurance, employee benefits, and financial services. Before joining Stone Point's predecessor (MMC Capital) in 1998, Chuck spent twenty-three years at Goldman Sachs, where he was head of Investment Banking Services worldwide, a member of the International Executive Committee, and a partner. Chuck, who knows plenty, will tell us what's on his mind.
10:50 a.m.
Intrepid investigative journalist David Marchant is the founder and editor of OffshoreAlert, which specializes in exposing financial crimes, frauds, and scams committed in offshore financial centers, including Bermuda. David was forced to leave that lovely haven when the government refused to allow him to live and work there after he published a series of exposés of the lax regulatory environment. He will take us on a rollicking journey into the world of offshore sleaze.
11:30 a.m.
Gordon Stewart, who recently stepped down after seventeen years as president of the Insurance Information Institute, has an unusual background for a fellow in the insurance industry. He was the original director of the play "Elephant Man" and directed and conducted productions at the New York Shakespeare Festival, Lincoln Center and the Edinburgh Festival. He served in the White House as deputy chief speechwriter to President Carter, and was vice president for public affairs at the American Stock Exchange. He will tell all—about the insurance industry.
12:15 p.m.
Lunch: Decent food and fine conversation.
1:15 p.m.
Before he became CEO of Alleghany Corp., Weston Hicks was an Institutional Investor "All-America" analyst for many years. Ironically, not a single securities firm covers Alleghany these days, despite the fact shareholder returns have been around twenty percent over the long term and the company has a market cap of close to $3 billion. Weston will tell us what he's up to.
2:00 p.m.
There's nothing quite like seeing an insurance-company executive and a broker go at it. Doug Libby, the savvy CEO of Seneca Insurance Company (a subsidiary of Fairfax) will face off against Walter Harris, CEO of Tanenbaum-Harber, a large, privately-held broker.
2:50 p.m.
Joe Brandon, chairman and CEO of General Re, isn't interested in market share, rapid growth, or taking risk without commensurate reward. He's focused on underwriting discipline and profitability. Under his careful watch, General Re has done splendidly. Joe will tell us, in his inimitable style, some of the things that he's thinking about these days
3:45 p.m.
David Schiff will have his say on the great insurance issues of the day, and discuss where he sees value and solvency (or the lack thereof).
4:30 p.m.
Attendees will socialize with their fellow insurance mavens and observers, discussing the day's events and making deals over cocktails while taking in the view from the top of the New York Athletic Club.
6:00 p.m.
There will be an additional reception and dinner for those who want more of a good thing. The venue is the Coffee House, a convivial and somewhat worn-at-the-edges private club devoted to "agreeable, civilized conversation." Attendance is limited to 36 people.
Conference participants are invited to join David Schiff for a private, informal dinner after the conference at The Coffee House, a small club at 20 West 44th Street. (A brief history of The Coffee House follows.) Cocktails at The Coffee House will begin at 6:00, followed by dinner at 7:30 p.m. To reserve a space at the dinner, please be sure to sign up when registering online or by phone. Seating at the dinner is limited, so please register or call soon. A non-refundable payment of $100 by check or credit card will be due by March 17.
The Coffee House
The Coffee House is a ninety-two year-old club devoted to agreeable, civilized conversation. It's modeled on the English idea of a tavern, and is quaint, convivial, and unpretentious. It's a bit threadbare, but filled with history-not unlike a well-worn tweed jacket one keeps his whole life.
The Coffee House was founded in 1915 by writers who were members of the Knickerbocker Club, and were fed up with overindulgence. The Coffee House was their "revolt against the marble palace idea. The club's founders, a Who's Who of arts and letters of the day, "had no sympathy with business or wealth or with such things that business and wealth implied," wrote Frank Crowninshield years later.
The Coffee House was intended to be "simple and cheap." The club's "rules" still invoke this ethos: "No officers, No charge accounts, No liveries, No tips, No set speeches, NO RULES."
The Coffee House was to be a repose for artists, authors, composers, illustrators, inventors, judges, musicians, playwrights, sculptors, statesmen, and others. It was a place to eat, drink (perhaps a good deal), talk, and engage in good cheer. The club was not for everyone: "brokers and bankers" were not allowed.
Early members included Robert Benchley, Winston Churchill, Douglas Fairbanks, Judge Learned Hand, Childe Hassam, Cole Porter, Charles Scribner, and P. G. Wodehouse. Later members included Buckminster Fuller, George Gershwin, Oscar Hammerstein 2nd, Jerome Kern, Somerset Maughan, Edward R. Murrow, Ogden Nash, Richard Rodgers, and John Steinbeck, to mention some well-known names. But The Coffee House has never been about fame or status; it has been about conversation and thoughts.
The Coffee House still has a diverse roster of members, virtually all of whom delight in this throwback to an age when folks took their time over a communal lunch or dinner. And it is still a place where culture-not fashion or fads-tends to be the subject of discussion.
At an anniversary dinner some years back, Heywood Hale Broun, then the club's senior member, described The Coffee House: "You will, I am sure, remember those old fantasies about the weary traveler who, at twilight, takes a side road to a strangely antique inn and a lot of merriment among men in three-corned hats and women in mobcaps. The traveler has the time of his life but, later, can never find the road or the inn again. The good thing about our magic inn is that West 44th Street is easy to find, and, though the hats are ordinary, the timeless ease and good cheer match any fourth dimension refuge."
Those seeking glitz, fancy food, and swank surroundings will be disappointed by The Coffee House. But those who seek something different in a city that too often devours its past, may come to The Coffee House and spend an evening sharing ideas, good wine, and a pleasant meal.
April 11, 2006 "The Dirty Work"9:00
a.m.
David Schiff, editor
of Schiff's Insurance Observer, will tell you what
he's riled up about these days. Throughout the conference he will,
as always, interrogate the speakers and force them to answer
brazen questions.
9:25
a.m.
Jason Adkins began his
career working for Ralph Nader, and has spent much of his time
battling the insurance industry. He founded the Center for Insurance
Research in 1991 and has been a partner at the law firm Adkins
& Kelston, P.C. since 1998. Jason, who's an
indefatigable voice for fairness, reform, and the public interest,
will discuss some highlights and low points in insurance litigation,
including an overview of the Allied Mutual litigation which resulted
in a historic settlement.
10:30
a.m.
Andrew Marks has been
an insurance broker for forty-three years and was David Schiff's
mentor in the insurance business. Andy, who's one of the most
knowledgeable insurance brokers around, is CEO of MLW Services, a division of Bollinger, Inc. He will take
us inside the insurance business and tell all.
11:15
a.m.
When John Burns stepped
down as CEO of Alleghany Corp. in 2004,
he left a great record of achievement-long-term shareholder returns
in the neighborhood of twenty percent. John has spent his career
ignoring fads and the new new thing, focusing instead on creating
long-term value for his shareholders. Over the decades, Alleghany has
owned (and sometimes sold) a variety of businesses and investments
including asset management, steel, minerals, railroads, and, of
course, insurance. John will share with us the lessons he's learned
from thirty-six years of owning insurance companies.
Noon
Lunch: Decent food; fine conversation.
1:00
p.m.
Robert Hunter,
director of insurance for the Consumer Federation of America,
has had a long career in insurance. He began as an underwriter at
Atlantic Mutual, worked at two rating bureaus, consulted with
government agencies, served as Federal Insurance Administrator,
founded the National Insurance Consumer Organization, and was the
Texas Commissioner of Insurance. Bob, who's an actuary, will
give you his unvarnished view.
1:45
p.m.
Since 1981, Richard
Stewart has been chairman of Stewart Economics, a
consulting firm specializing in insurance and insurance regulation.
Dick was a Rhodes Scholar and attorney before becoming First
Assistant Counsel to New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller. He served
as New York's Superintendent of Insurance from
1967-1970, and was subsequently SVP and general counsel of First
National City Bank, then SVP and CFO of Chubb. Over the years, Dick
has published influential tracts on insurance regulation, insurer
insolvency, underwriting cycles, and insurance insolvency guarantees.
He'll tell us what he's thinking about these days.
2:45
p.m.
A living legend returns for a
rare New York performance! Joseph Belth, editor of The
Insurance Forum, will be making his third appearance at
Schiff's Insurance Conference. Joe, whose articles, speeches, and
testimony have shaken up the life-insurance industry, is the author
of numerous books and journal articles and is professor emeritus of
insurance at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. He
will let us know what's bothering him.
3:45
p.m.
David Schiff will have
his say on the great insurance issues of the day, and discuss where
he sees value and solvency (or the lack thereof).
4:30
p.m.
Attendees will socialize with
their fellow insurance mavens and observers, discussing the day's
events and making deals over cocktails while taking in the
view from the top of the New York Athletic Club.
6:00
p.m.
There will be an additional
reception and dinner for those who want more of a good thing. The
venue is the Coffee House, a convivial, somewhat worn-at-the-edges
private club devoted to "agreeable, civilized conversation."
Attendance is limited to 36 people.
April 12, 2005 "A Vast Wasteland"9:00
a.m.
David Schiff, editor of Schiff's
Insurance Observer, will tell you what he's riled up about
these days. Throughout the conference he will, as always, interrogate
the speakers and force them to answer brazen questions.
9:30
a.m.
In June 1994, Schiff's wrote an admiring profile of Christopher Davis, portfolio
manager of the Davis Funds, which had $300 million
under management. (Chris is the only money manager we've ever
profiled.) We picked a winner. The Davis Funds now manage $40
billion, and the firm's primary fund has outperformed the S&P
500 during every meaningful period since its inception in 1969. Chris
will tell us about the Davis's sixty-year history of investing in
the insurance business, and share his thoughts on the mutual-fund
industry, shareholder activism, and more.
10:30
a.m.
Two years after receiving his Ph.D.
in economics from Harvard, 27-year-old James Stone became the
youngest insurance commissioner (Massachusetts) in history. Four
years later, in 1979, Jimmy Carter appointed him as chairman of the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission. When his term ended in 1983, he
moved back to Boston and founded The Plymouth Rock Company,
a privately-held insurance holding company that writes well over $1
billion in premiums-quite profitably. Jim will share his
perspective on auto insurance, regulation, public policy, and being
an entrepreneur in the insurance business.
11:20
a.m.
William Koenig is Senior Vice
President and Chief Actuary of "the quiet company," Northwestern
Mutual. Bill will give us his perspective about
reserving-especially when it involves universal-life products with
secondary guarantees. His comments, which will not be quiet, should
leave some members of the insurance industry feeling worried.
Noon
Lunch:
Decent food; fine conversation.
1:00 p.m.
Eugene Anderson is the
founding member of Anderson Kill & Olick, P.C., a law firm that represents policyholders in disputes with insurance
companies. Gene, who has practiced law for fifty-two years and is
known as the dean of policyholders' attorneys, will give us his
thoughts on the insurance industry, ethics, regulation, and more.
1:45
p.m.
Property insurers' combined ratios
are five to eight points higher than they should be, says Robert
Dowdell, CEO of Marshall & Swift/Boeckh (M&S/B),
which is doing something to remedy that. M&S/B, long known as a
building-cost provider in claims and underwriting, has become a
corporate Sherlock Holmes that uses logic and statistical analysis on
the massive amounts of data it processes to improve carriers'
underwriting results. "The data has an important story to tell,"
says Bob, who will tell us an important story about risk
differentiation, pricing, database analytics, and much more.
2:45
p.m..
Warren
Buffett talked to just one securities analyst: Alice Schroeder of Morgan Stanley. In 2003, Alice, then Institutional
Investor's top-ranked P/C analyst, made an unusual career
move-she left the day-to-day world of Wall Street to write a book
about Buffett's life and philosophies. Alice, who is to Buffett
what Boswell was to Johnson, won't be finished with her tome (which
we predict will be a bestseller) for a couple of years. In the
meantime, she'll tell you what's been on her mind.
3:45
p.m.
David Schiff will have his
say on the great insurance issues of the day, and discuss where he
sees value and solvency (or the lack thereof).
4:30
p.m.
Attendees will socialize with their
fellow insurance mavens and observers, discussing the day's events
and making deals over cocktails while taking in the view from
the top of the New York Athletic Club.
6:00
p.m.
There will be an additional
reception and dinner for those who want more of a good thing. The
venue is the Coffee House, a convivial, somewhat worn-at-the-edges
private club devoted to "agreeable, civilized conversation."
Attendance is limited to 36 people.
April 15, 2004 "Grand Delusion"9:00
a.m.
David
Schiff,
editor of Schiff's
Insurance Observer,
will start off with a look at the seamy side of the insurance
business. Throughout the day he will, as always, interrogate the
speakers and force them to answer brazen questions.
9:30
a.m.
Over
the decades, William
R. Berkley,
CEO of W.R.
Berkley Corporation,
has demonstrated that he knows how to build value in hard markets and
in soft markets. When Bill spoke at our 1999 conference, he was
acutely aware of the risks-and opportunities-that lay ahead.
Since then, his business has been on a roll and his company's stock
(which we had recommended) has more than quadrupled. Bill will give
us his atypical perspective in his typically eloquent manner.
10:40
a.m.
Betsy
McCaughey is a thinker, author, and expert on health policy. Her 1994 critique
of the Clinton health plan, "No Exit," caused a ruckus and
helped kill the plan. Betsy, who was an unusually independent Lieutenant
Governor of New York,
has published two books on U.S. constitutional history and is writing
a book on health care. She will tell all, including how "medical
courts will solve the malpractice crisis."
11:20
a.m.
Milberg
Weiss Bershad Hynes & Lerach LLP didn't invent the class-action lawsuit, but, as the largest
contingency-fee-based law firm representing plaintiffs, it has
certainly perfected it. Senior partner Melvyn
Weiss is a leading practitioner in the fields of securities, insurance,
environmental, antitrust, and consumer litigation. Mel's comments may
leave some members of the insurance industry feeling afraid—very
afraid.
Noon - Lunch
1:00
p.m.
Many
insurance companies don't have the data to price risk properly. Daniel
Finnegan,
president of Quality
Planning Corporation,
is a statistician who knows how to compile, analyze, and use data in
ways that can create a significant underwriting edge. "There's
enormous room for the improvement of prediction," he notes
matter-of-factly. Daniel will take us into the world of rating error,
black boxes, credit scoring, database analysis, geo-positioning
systems, privacy issues, and probabilities. And that's just the
beginning.
1:45
p.m.
It
may surprise some to learn that Schiff's has a hero. His name is Joseph
Belth and he is, of course, the editor of The
Insurance Forum.
Joe, whose articles, speeches, and testimony have shaken up the
life-insurance industry, is the author of numerous books and journal
articles and professor emeritus of insurance at the Kelley School of
Business at Indiana University. He'll tell you what's bothering
him these days.
2:45
p.m.
Jay
Brown is CEO of triple-A-rated MBIA
Inc.,
which specializes in credit-enhancement insurance. He was previously
CEO of Talegen
Holdings,
and before that, CEO of Fireman's
Fund.
Jay, who's an actuary, has a contrarian nature and a keen
appreciation of risk-desirable attributes for one running a company
with $6 billion of equity and $500 billion of financial guarantees
outstanding. He will offer his thoughts about insurance, credit,
financial guarantees, risk versus reward, and more.
3:45
p.m.
David
Schiff will discuss where he sees value and solvency (or the lack thereof),
and have his say on the great insurance issues of the day.
April 10, 2003 "Endless Risk"
9:00 a.m.
At $150 billion in annual premiums, auto
insurance is far and away the largest insurance market-and Brian
Sullivan, editor of the must-read Auto
Insurance Report, knows more about the
U.S. auto-insurance market than anyone in the world. He is skilled in
making sense out of complex and diverse data from fifty states and
hundreds of companies. Brian, who consorts with underwriters,
auto-repair guys, CEOs, agents, marketing specialists, regulators,
legislators, consumer activists, and lobbyists, knows what's
happening and why. He also knows what's not happening. He'll tell all.
10:30 a.m.
Only one person has
been a senior official at the SEC, president of a major stock
exchange, CEO of a major securities firm, and CEO of a giant
insurance company. While practicing law in the 1950s, Ralph
Saul became interested in the securities business.
The path he chose from there was unusual. He joined the SEC
where, by the early 1960s, he was the head of the Division of Trading
and Markets, which was then responsible for market regulation and
enforcement. Ralph subsequently went on to become president of
the American Stock Exchange, CEO of First Boston,
and then CEO of INA (where he oversaw the merger with
Connecticut General that formed CIGNA, of which he was
co-CEO). He served as chairman of Drexel Burnham during its Chapter
11 reorganization and, until recently, was chairman of Horace Mann
Educators.
Ralph has been as a
director of numerous organizations including the Brookings
Institution, the New York Times, the New York Stock Exchange, the
Fidelity Group of Funds, and the American Institute of Certified
Public Accountants. (He inveighed against auditors' lack of
independence long before the subject drew national attention.) We can
be assured that Ralph will give us an independent and outspoken point
of view.
11:20 a.m.
Peter Hutchings, retired EVP and
CFO of The Guardian Life Insurance Company,
is an actuary by training and a prudent man by nature. Back in 1991,
Peter told us that actuaries' aggressive behavior had got out of
hand, and he posited that the great debacles going forward might be
on the liability side of the balance sheet rather than on the asset
side. Peter will discuss the effects that low interest rates will
have on insurance companies' balance sheets, income statements, and
businesses. His conclusions may not leave you feeling jolly.
Noon
Lunch: decent food; fine conversation.
1:00 p.m.
Richard
Stewart, chairman of Stewart Economics,
a consulting firm specializing in insurance and insurance regulation,
was a Rhodes Scholar and attorney before becoming First Assistant
Counsel to New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller. He served as New
York's Superintendent of Insurance (he was a damned good one) and president of the NAIC. He was
subsequently SVP and general counsel of First National City Bank (now
Citigroup), then SVP and CFO of Chubb. Over the years, Dick has
published influential tracts on a variety of subjects, including
insurance regulation, insurer insolvency, underwriting cycles, and
insurance insolvency guarantees. He'll tell you what concerns him
these days.
1:45 p.m.
How do you turn a small insurance
brokerage that writes long-haul trucking into a highly successful
specialty insurer that does $2.2 billion in premium? Tony
Markel, president of Markel
Corporation, can tell you. During his 38
years in the business, Tony has demonstrated that he knows how to do
something few others can do: make an underwriting profit. He also
knows a thing or two about the successful acquisition of insurance
companies, as well as the pain of a bad acquisition. Tony will share
his pain...and his insights.
2:45 p.m.
"At the risk of sounding Pollyannaish,"
Warren Buffett wrote to Berkshire Hathaway's shareholders last
year, "I now assure you that underwriting discipline is being
restored at General Re...with
appropriate urgency."
Joseph
Brandon is the man Buffett appointed
as CEO to lead the restoration project. Joe isn't interested in
market share, rapid growth, or taking risk without commensurate
reward; he's focused on underwriting discipline and profitability.
Although he's a CPA, he is concerned with managing his business
according to economic reality rather than generally accepted
accounting principles.
Buffett predicted that Joe would make
General Re "a huge asset for Berkshire." In his inimitable style,
Joe will tell us what he's been thinking about lately.
3:45 p.m.
As
usual, David Schiff,
editor of Schiff's Insurance Observer,
will interrogate the speakers and, when necessary, force them to answer brazen questions. He will also have his say on the
great insurance issues of the day, and will discuss where he sees
value and solvency (or the lack thereof).
4:30 p.m.
Attendees will
socialize with their fellow insurance mavens and observers,
discussing the day's events and making deals over cocktails
while taking in the view from the top of the New York Athletic
Club
6:00 p.m.
There will be an
additional reception and dinner for those who want more of a good
thing. The venue is the Coffee House, a convivial private club
devoted to "agreeable, civilized conversation." Attendance is
limited to 36 people.
April 9, 2002 "The Long-Term View" 9:00 a.m.
It wouldn't really matter what M.
R. "Hank" Greenberg, chairman and CEO of American International Group,
talks about, because. . .well, let's face it-anything he has to say about the insurance business is worth listening to. For
the record, though, Hank will: 1) tell us what he's been thinking
about, 2) share his outlook on the industry, and 3) have a debate argument fistfight chat with the ever-inquisitive David Schiff.
10:30 a.m.
Devotees of eloquent prose about complex
accounting matters cherish three fine books: Unaccountable
Accounting, More
Debits than Credits, and The
Truth About Corporate Accounting, by Abraham
J. Briloff, certified
public accountant and Distinguished Professor Emeritus at Baruch College.
Abe has been a leader in exposing dubious, inconsistent, and
incongruous accounting practices. He also has a longstanding interest
in the insurance business, where such practices have a habit of
turning up. He will tell you what's been troubling him lately.
11:20 a.m.
Most insurance
companies don't do things the way Cincinnati Financial does. And only a handful have posted long-term results as great as
Cincinnati Financial has. Robert Morgan, who retired as CEO of
Cincinnati in 1999, spent more than three decades building a company
that was started (and still revered by) independent agents.
Cincinnati has delivered value to its insureds and has made a fortune
for its shareholders. Bob will give us something that's hard to
find these days: an independent point of view.
Lunch
Decent food and fine conversation.
1:00 p.m.
Stephen Way began working at Lloyd's when he was 15. He eventually came to
America, where he founded HCC Insurance
Holdings at the advanced age of 25. HCC
is now a large specialty insurer and underwriting manager. In a
no-holds-barred discussion, Stephen will tell us how this came about,
and share his thoughts on capital preservation, diversification,
underwriting discipline, and much more.
1:45 p.m.
Glenn Daily is
a rare breed: a fee-only insurance consultant who specializes in life insurance and annuities. He is an innovative
thinker, prolific author, and consumer advocate. Glenn's talk,
currently titled "Clueless Consumers: A real options analysis,"
will delve into a variety of subjects that will be of interest to
anyone in the life insurance business, anyone who owns life insurance
or annuities, or anyone who might want to own life insurance or
annuities.
2:45 p.m.
"We
applaud owners who reward executives on premium growth," says Jack
Byrne, chairman of White
Mountains Insurance Group.
"This often provides fine opportunities for us later." During his
career, Jack has resuscitated GEICO, fixed Fireman's Fund, and
built up White Mountains. Jack is not interested in: market share, producing a predictable stream of
quarterly operating earnings, or managing his business according to
generally accepted accounting principles. His strategy is simple-to
increase intrinsic business value per share. Jack will tell us what
interests him these days.
3:45 p.m.
As
usual, David Schiff, editor
of Schiff's Insurance Observer,
will interrogate the speakers and, when necessary, force them to answer brazen questions. David will have his say on the great
insurance issues of the day and will discuss where he sees value (or
the lack thereof).
4:30 p.m.
Socialize with
insurance mavens and observers. Discuss the day's events or make
deals over cocktails while taking in the view from the top of
the New York Athletic Club
6:00 p.m.
Additional
reception and dinner for those who want more of a good thing. The
venue is The Coffee House, a convivial private club devoted to
"agreeable, civilized conversation." Attendance is limited to 32
people.
April 21, 2001 "The Vicissitudes of Insurance"The Speakers will include
The Analyst
When Warren Buffett decided to talk to Wall Street, he granted access
to only one securities analyst: Alice Schroeder, principal
at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter. (If she's good enough
for Buffett, then she's more than good enough for you.) Alice is
well known for her knowledge, judgement, and detailed research, and
was recently named an All-American insurance analyst by Institutional
Investor. She will give you her perspective on the industry and
tell you where she sees opportunity and where she doesn't.
The Legend
Joseph M. Belth, Ph.D, professor emeritus of insurance at the
Kelley School of Business at Indiana University (Bloomington), is the
author of Life Insurance: A Consumer's Handbook. He is best
known, of course, as the editor (and writer) of the groundbreaking
The Insurance Forum. Joe is one of the most influential
people in the life-insurance business. Over the course of his career
he has exposed deceptive practices and all sorts of shady behavior,
and his articles, speeches, and testimony have altered the industry. Joe, who is the author numerous books and recipient of many
awards, will tell us what he's pondering these days.
The Long-Term Thinker
In the 14 years
since its initial public offering, Markel Corporation
has transformed itself from a
small, family-run business into a major player in the industry. Two
measures of the company's success are the following: earned
premiums have grown from $10 million to approximately $1 billion,
and shareholders' equity has
increased from $15 million to $690 million. Steven Markel,
vice chairman, has played a key role in his company's extraordinary
growth in shareholders' value. His method is low key, analytical,
and straightforward. Steve is a long-term, value-oriented investor
and thinker. He will discuss his company, the industry, investing in
equities, and "The Markel Style."
The Turnaround
Specialists
What do you do with troubled insurance companies? Two who know
how to fix them are Richard Barasch, CEO of Universal
American Financial, and Douglas Libby, CEO of Seneca
Insurance Company. Both began their careers as lawyers (we
won't hold that against them) and both-for different reasons-took
control of miserable little insurance companies in the late 1980's.
They went about salvaging their companies in vastly different
manners, however. We shall compare and contrast the vicissitudes of
insurance as Barasch and Libby share their experiences-and the
lessons they've learned.
The Observer
As usual, David Schiff, editor of Schiff's Insurance
Observer, will interrogate the speakers and, when necesary,
force them to answer brazen questions. He will have his say on
the great insurance issues of the day, and deliver a speech entitled
"How to Lose Friends and Influence People in the Insurance
Business."
April 11, 2000 "Confronted With Insurmountable Opportunities"The Great Rating
Agency Debate
When the subject is
solvency and financial strength (and everything those things entail),
one naturally looks to the insurance industry's "regulators."
The regulators, however, aren't elected or appointed public
officials; they are the rating agencies, and they've become more
assertive than ever. On hand to participate in a 30-round,
bare-knuckled, championship discussion will be the three top-rated
contenders in the heavyweight division. In one corner we'll have A.
M. Best's formidable group senior vice president, Larry
G. Mayewski. Across the ring will be the impressive Patrick
Finegan, senior vice president at Moody's.
Rounding out the card will be the ever-imposing Alan Levin,
managing director at Standard & Poor's. No
punches will be pulled. Hard questions will be asked--and answered.
Life Insurance
Confidential
Colin Devine,
who has had the "real world" experience of being vice
president at a major life insurer and director at a major rating
agency, is now vice president at Salomon Smith Barney
and provides incisive equity research coverage on a diverse group of
North American life-insurance companies. He's not afraid to issue a
controversial opinion when it's called for (such as being extremely
bearish--rightly so--on a major life insurer). Colin will share his
outlook on the life-insurance industry, including the effects of
demographics, Conference Speakers demutualization, and distribution,
and will tell us where he sees value and where he sees trouble.
The Inside Story on
Insurance Regulation
In 1997, Bonnie
Steingart, who had been a partner at Fried, Frank, Harris,
Shriver & Jacobson for 11 years,
left private practice for the field of public service. She spent the
next two years with the New York State Department of Insurance,
where she was Deputy Superintendent and General Counsel. She
participated in many legislative, regulatory, transactional, and
enforcement initiatives undertaken by the department, and supervised
a staff of fifty lawyers. Last September she rejoined Fried, Frank.
Bonnie's perspective on financial-services reform, regulation, bank
holding companies, and competition will fascinate you--and surprise
you.
Big Time Money
Two billion dollars is
a nice round number, and it just happens to be about the amount of
money that Meryl D. Hartzband oversees in her role as
Principal and Investment Director at Marsh & McLennan
Capital, which specializes in private equity investments in
insurance and financial-services businesses. Meryl is a savvy
investor who has had a rare inside view of the insurance industry.
(In addition to making major investments, she's a director of ACE
Limited.) She will share some of her thoughts about the insurance
industry and perhaps will tell us what she's planning to invest in
and why.
Observer Speaks Out
David Schiff
began working--reluctantly--in the insurance business in 1974, and
despite repeated attempts, has not been able to kick the habit. He
has held a number of jobs over the years, the best of which has been
writing Schiff's Insurance Observer, which he founded
in 1989. In addition to peppering the other speakers with difficult
questions, David will have his say on the great insurance issues of
the day.
April 23, 1999 "The Vicissitudes of Insurance"Jeffrey Greenberg,
president of the Marsh & McLennan Companies, is a
true insurance industry insider. He spent 17 years at AIG, was
chairman of Marsh & McLennan Capital, and is a director of ACE
Limited. Jeff, who will become CEO of Marsh & McLennan by the end
of 1999, has had a rare view from the top of the industry, and he
will share that view -- and his experiences and insights about
relevant matters -- with us.
After graduating from
Harvard Business School at 21, William R. Berkley began his
career managing money. He gravitated to insurance because he
considered insurance companies to be attractive investments. Today, W.R. Berkley Corporation, which Bill started at the
ripe old age of 22, is a billion-dollar insurance holding company.
(Bill does not limit himself to Conference Speakers insurance; in his
spare time he has run a host of other businesses, including those in
banking, chemicals, distribution, food, and money management.) Bill
has always had an eye for value, an awareness of risk, and a
willingness to act independently. He will tell us what he's
thinking about these days.
James Grant,
editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, is a writer
and financial historian of unparalleled erudition. His métier
is "markets," which encompasses everything from the Baltic
Freight Index, gold, and insurance companies, to overvalued Internet
stocks, undervalued Japanese securities, and the demand for credit.
Way back in the 1980s, Jim was the most vocal (and eloquent), critic
of junk bonds (and junk-bond laden life-insurance companies). Jim is
the author of several books, including the classics Money of the Mind
and The Trouble With Prosperity. His comments will be of great
interest to folks in the insurance industry. Insurance companies,
after all, are essentially risk-taking investment pools that employ
financial leverage.
One problem with most
security analysts is that they work for big Wall Street firms that
are often too eager to garner lucrative underwriting and
investment-banking business. That environment is not ideal for
independent thinkers. V.J. DOWLING is the proprietor of Dowling & Partners Securities, an independent
institutional stock-brokerage firm that specializes in
property/casualty stocks. V.J. is from the old-fashioned school of
security analysis -- he focuses on fundamentals rather than on
"momentum," market psychology, new-age economics, or other
mumbo jumbo. He subjects insurance-company balance sheets to
microscopic analysis, scrutinizes loss reserves and reinsurance
treaties, and understands -- in our opinion, better than any analyst
-- the underlying factors that drive the industry and the companies.
A prolific writer and compelling speaker, he will share his outlook
on various sectors of the property/casualty industry, and tell us
where he sees value (or lack thereof).
Christopher Davis is no stranger to long-time readers of Schiff's Insurance Observer.
Five years ago we wrote a glowing profile of the then 29-year-old
thoroughbred money manager who loved insurance stocks. At that time
the Davis Funds had $300 million under management.
Today the figure is $25 billion. Before entering the investment
business, Chris considered becoming an Episcopal priest and got his
Masters in philosophy and theology. (His grandfather, the insurance
investor Shelby Cullom Davis, later told him that this was the
perfect training because "in the investment business you need
your philosophy and then you've got to pray like hell.")
Mutual funds co-managed by Chris have received Morningstar's
highest rating: 5 stars. Chris will talk about how he does what he
does and, perhaps, share the secret of the "Davis double play."
Jason Adkins is
an indefatigable consumer activist and lawyer who has helped bring
about a revolution in the mutual insurance industry. After working
for Ralph Nader he founded the Center for Insurance Research, which
has waged (and, for the most part, won) an epic battle against
abusive demutualizations and mutual-holding company conversions.
Jason, a partner at Adkins & Kelston, P.C., is a
forceful advocate for proper disclosure, fairness, and the public
interest. His thoughts on the insurance industry, dissemination of
information, and regulation will fascinate and surprise you.
David Schiff began working -- reluctantly -- in the insurance business in 1974. He
has held a number of jobs over the years, the best of which has been
writing Schiff's Insurance Observer, which he founded
in 1989. In addition to interrogating chatting with the other
speakers, David will have his say on the great insurance issues of
the day. |